Just back from a day touring under a hot winter sun. Anticyclonic conditions were creating an inversion layer with a cloud sea blocking the valley with a ceiling around 1500m; this burnt off around the middle of the afternoon.
Things seemed very stable. We toured W - > SE slopes. In shaded spots it was largely wind or rain crust. Where the sun hit the snow this crust would melt leaving heavy snow. In the Vans bowl above Chamrousse it had largely been wind scoured leaving loose snow on hard pack that was very pleasant to ski.
This interesting piece of wind sculpting is on a SE facing slope at 2200m on the side of a valley aligned SW <-> NE. Not easy to give a prevailing wind (any suggestions?) but it shows how fierce the wind had been.
The avalanche risk in the Isere is rising from the 1-2 today to 3 tomorrow with some fresh snow, maybe 20cm accompanied by strong winds from the NW -> N in the morning. Conversely the Savoie drops to a 2/3 break at 2300m, the forecaster sees less snow, maybe 5cm. Haute-Savoie has a similar picture to the Isere except the interior Mt Blanc range which will not see much snow.
Just a note, so far Meteo France has been a bit optimistic in its snow depths forecast in the new bulletin. Watch this space.
Not much avalanche activity. A skier triggered slide crossed an open piste in La Norma yesterday afternoon. More serious, a skier crossing a stream broke a snow bridge in l’Alpe d’Huez and was trapped in the water for 15 minutes before piste patrollers could haul him out.